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Fundamental AI Research News
Top stories
Meta Launches Five New AI Models, Restructures Reality Labs
Authors
5
10 days
AI
Tech
Prediction markets for Fundamental AI Research
Prediction markets for Fundamental AI Research
2030 – 4. “Agents” and “AGI” will be outdated terms that are no longer widely used.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
20.87%
chance
22
1229
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1102
939
Will LLMs mostly overcome the Reversal Curse by the end of 2025?
Sep 23, 2:27 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
60%
chance
57
3628
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1035
914
Will tailcalled think that the Infrabayesianism alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 1:15 PM
Oct 20, 9:59 PM
30.63%
chance
18
1787
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1118
919
Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 7:12 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
61.3%
chance
15
398
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1110
903
Is Metaculus' strong AGI question too weak?
Jul 6, 9:38 PM
Jan 1, 10:38 PM
75.28%
chance
6
75
Option
Votes
NO
YES
245
131
Do you think AI will help to reduce breast cancer by the end of 2030?
Oct 22, 9:40 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
85%
chance
7
218
Option
Votes
NO
YES
240
90
Articles
Latest stories
Meta Launches Five New AI Models, Restructures Reality Labs
Authors
5
10 days
AI
Tech
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