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Freedom of Press News
Prediction markets for Freedom of Press
Prediction markets for Freedom of Press
What happens if Biden wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]
Jan 12, 12:50 AM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
17
1325
Which existing amendment to the Constitution of the United States will be repealed by EOY 2044 ?
May 5, 7:14 AM
Jan 15, 10:59 PM
11
608
What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]
Jan 12, 12:48 AM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
29
2642
If Biden wins, will the US score lower in the 2026 World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indexes?
Mar 15, 10:55 AM
Dec 31, 7:59 PM
23%
chance
12
300
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1125
939
If Trump wins, will the US score lower in the 2026 World Press Freedom, Corruption Perceptions AND Democracy Indexes?
Mar 15, 10:49 AM
Dec 31, 7:59 PM
79.82%
chance
16
701
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1311
883
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
12.38%
chance
68
23983
Option
Votes
YES
NO
26232
3281
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Jun 3, 9:34 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
35.39%
chance
14
835
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1351
740
Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?
Jan 24, 8:17 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
33.63%
chance
31
975
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1034
885
Will the assasination attempt at Slovakian PM Fico be used to crack down on opposition/press by May 2025?
May 16, 10:01 AM
May 1, 9:59 PM
48.08%
chance
15
390
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1004
996
Where will the next major breakthrough in AI originate from before 2025?
May 13, 2:47 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
67
3147
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Authors
23
3 months
Britain
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Authors
5
3 months
Tech
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