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Prediction markets for Free People
Prediction markets for Free People
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Oct 9, 8:29 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
49
8156
By 2050, will informed people significantly reduce their belief in the extent of free will they possess?
May 19, 8:29 PM
Dec 31, 7:00 AM
52.76%
chance
16
1724
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1018
980
Who are all of the people who will be Speaker of The House before election day 2024? [Unlinked Free Response]
Oct 10, 1:22 AM
Nov 5, 8:00 PM
9
2439
Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]
Oct 10, 4:59 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
63
39612
[CLOSED] FREE mAnA depending on how many people comment
Sep 25, 7:18 AM
0
0
In a year, will we think that Sam Altman leaving OpenAI reduced AI risk?
Nov 17, 8:54 PM
Nov 25, 7:59 AM
15.79%
chance
520
196658
Option
Votes
YES
NO
6799
1598
Will I have a new serious relationship within the next 5 years?
Jun 11, 4:45 PM
Jun 18, 8:59 PM
22
2862
What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)
May 9, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
34.45%
chance
22
17148
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1016
956
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
56.32%
chance
27
1336
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
925
[Metaculus] Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
Jul 2, 6:28 PM
Jan 22, 5:00 PM
23.25%
chance
25
5627
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1817
550
Will HIV/AIDS be considered a "curable" disease by the end of 2030?
Sep 11, 7:36 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
30%
chance
32
1361
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1255
812
Will my children need to learn to drive?
Jul 3, 10:37 AM
Jun 30, 10:59 PM
25%
chance
17
633
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1194
900
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Urban Outfitters Exceeds Q1 Earnings Expectations with $0.69 EPS, $1.200B Sales, Shares Rise
Authors
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1 month
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