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🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (39 DONE)
Jan 28, 7:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
68
16249
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Oct 9, 8:29 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
49
8156
Which parties will form the next German federal government?
Oct 10, 9:30 AM
Oct 31, 10:59 PM
46
8950
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
Feb 15, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
365
85514
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
Bolsonaro status before 2024 elections
Aug 18, 1:52 PM
Aug 16, 2:59 AM
15
2223
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
60
3197
🔓What will happen before RSA-2048 encryption is widely considered broken?
Feb 22, 6:05 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
26
5795
What's a common idea/opinion/concept that you think is overrated?
Oct 24, 8:44 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
76
9073
What will be true of the first Enhanced Games?
Feb 2, 5:10 PM
Oct 2, 3:59 AM
40
1873
How will Manifold change new user onboarding by 2025?
Jan 12, 3:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
141
Which ACX Grants 2024 impact certs will meet their minimum funding on Manifund?
Mar 13, 10:19 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
1
2
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France Raises Uber, DoorDash Workers' Minimum Wage to 9 Euros per Trip, Guarantees 30 Euros per Hour
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