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Prediction markets for Free Europe
Prediction markets for Free Europe
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
334
294277
Will European hens be 95% cage-free by 2026?
Sep 29, 1:01 PM
Jan 1, 12:59 AM
14.28%
chance
7
247
Option
Votes
YES
NO
438
153
Will European hens be 95% cage-free by 2030?
Sep 29, 12:48 PM
Jan 1, 12:59 AM
21.92%
chance
8
144
Option
Votes
YES
NO
435
261
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Jun 3, 9:34 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
35.39%
chance
14
835
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1351
740
Which countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)?
Apr 22, 3:02 AM
Jun 30, 1:59 PM
19
716
Vox Future Perfect 2024: Oatly’s stock price will not exceed $5 in 2024?
Feb 1, 5:03 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
83.71%
chance
4
112
Option
Votes
NO
YES
200
44
Will EU ban fur farming by the end of 2024
Jul 12, 1:18 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
13.73%
chance
8
238
Option
Votes
YES
NO
429
166
From what continent will the next assassinated head of state and/or government come from?
Jan 16, 10:44 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
18
780
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Stanford Report Highlights Vulnerabilities in Elon Musk's Stance on Free Speech, Ashley St. Clair Praises Musk
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7 months
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