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Prediction markets for Free Agency
Prediction markets for Free Agency
Which NBA team will increase their title odds most during free agency?
Jul 1, 1:36 AM
Oct 5, 6:59 AM
0
0
DeMar DeRozan 2024 Free Agency Decision
Jul 1, 7:30 PM
Jul 9, 4:59 AM
0
0
Which team will Dak Prescott be under contract with after 2025 free agency?
Mar 28, 5:01 AM
Apr 30, 3:59 PM
4
157
[Metaculus] Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?
Feb 26, 8:56 AM
Aug 12, 10:00 PM
26.24%
chance
24
1400
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1316
845
[Metaculus] Will an independent review find UNRWA staff involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks?
Apr 23, 1:14 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
31.47%
chance
22
1921
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1052
797
[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
Nov 3, 5:26 PM
Jan 2, 5:00 PM
26.94%
chance
11
292
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1107
947
Do humans have free will?
Aug 19, 8:03 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
22.45%
chance
34
899
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1368
854
[ACX 2024] Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025?
Jan 1, 1:32 PM
Jan 2, 8:00 PM
7.43%
chance
74
6575
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1102
1046
Will Trump’s favorability increase after sentencing?
Jun 11, 11:58 PM
Aug 1, 6:59 AM
9.51%
chance
5
1094
Option
Votes
YES
NO
308
32
Which risk categories and concepts will be explicitly tracked by OpenAI's preparedness framework by end of 2024?
Dec 18, 8:09 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
10
541
Buffalo Bills Organizational Assets by the start of the 2025 draft [ADD ANSWERS]
Apr 13, 4:28 AM
Apr 25, 3:59 AM
7
1608
Conditional on an “FDA for AI” being established in the US, who will head it?
Oct 24, 11:54 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
19
2210
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8 months
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