FiveThirtyEight News

Will Biden's approval rating be above 40% on FiveThirtyEight as of August 1 2024?

Jun 10, 7:13 PMJul 11, 3:59 AM

56.37%chance

262162

OptionVotes

YES

1137

880

Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go below 37% before the Election? 🇺🇸🗳️🗽

May 29, 10:56 PMNov 14, 12:59 PM

58.26%chance

12643

OptionVotes

YES

1181

847

Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go above 42% before the Election? 🇺🇸🗳️🗽

May 22, 8:33 AMNov 21, 12:59 PM

33.64%chance

111829

OptionVotes

YES

1405

712

Will Selzer out-predict FiveThirtyEight in the 2024 Iowa presidential election?

Dec 29, 10:37 PMNov 15, 11:59 PM

76.98%chance

14481

OptionVotes

YES

1168

921

Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?

Jan 5, 1:17 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

37.86%chance

20524

OptionVotes

YES

1076

948

Will Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight at the end of Halloween?

Apr 24, 3:34 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

53.97%chance

13207

OptionVotes

YES

1007

986

Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go below 35% before the Election?

May 20, 2:37 PMNov 21, 12:59 PM

18.39%chance

161716

OptionVotes

YES

2107

475

Will FiveThirtyEight’s default 2024 Senate model use expert ratings (be “Deluxe”)?

Feb 10, 12:49 AMSep 1, 6:59 AM

16.98%chance

16722

OptionVotes

YES

1260

904

At the end of September will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?

Mar 11, 1:45 PMOct 1, 3:59 AM

40.47%chance

23681

OptionVotes

YES

1113

884

At the end of June will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?

Mar 11, 6:51 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

11.14%chance

212037

OptionVotes

YES

2632

553

Will FiveThirtyEight's final 2024 presidential forecast give Biden a >=80% chance of winning?

Jul 21, 4:01 AMNov 6, 5:59 AM

8.79%chance

17760

OptionVotes

YES

1521

893

At the end of August will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?

May 6, 1:44 PMSep 1, 3:59 AM

44.16%chance

9174

OptionVotes

YES

112

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FiveThirtyEight News

Prediction markets for FiveThirtyEight

Prediction markets for FiveThirtyEight

Prediction markets for FiveThirtyEight

Will Biden's approval rating be above 40% on FiveThirtyEight as of August 1 2024?

Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go below 37% before the Election? 🇺🇸🗳️🗽

Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go above 42% before the Election? 🇺🇸🗳️🗽

Will Selzer out-predict FiveThirtyEight in the 2024 Iowa presidential election?

Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?

Will Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight at the end of Halloween?

Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go below 35% before the Election?

Will FiveThirtyEight’s default 2024 Senate model use expert ratings (be “Deluxe”)?

At the end of September will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?

At the end of June will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?

Will FiveThirtyEight's final 2024 presidential forecast give Biden a >=80% chance of winning?

At the end of August will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for FiveThirtyEight

Prediction markets for FiveThirtyEight

Prediction markets for FiveThirtyEight

Will Biden's approval rating be above 40% on FiveThirtyEight as of August 1 2024?

Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go below 37% before the Election? 🇺🇸🗳️🗽

Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go above 42% before the Election? 🇺🇸🗳️🗽

Will Selzer out-predict FiveThirtyEight in the 2024 Iowa presidential election?

Will Manifold's 2024 general election predictions outperform FiveThirtyEight's?

Will Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight at the end of Halloween?

Will Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating go below 35% before the Election?

Will FiveThirtyEight’s default 2024 Senate model use expert ratings (be “Deluxe”)?

At the end of September will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?

At the end of June will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?

Will FiveThirtyEight's final 2024 presidential forecast give Biden a >=80% chance of winning?

At the end of August will Joe Biden's favorability be higher than Trump's on FiveThirtyEight?

Latest stories