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Prediction markets for Fertilizers

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?

Jul 14, 1:24 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

23.9%chance

13280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

861

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Feb 17, 4:38 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

18.64%chance

38913

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1026

978

Will the WHO state that there is conclusive evidence that microplastics exposure reduces human fertility by 2026?

May 21, 8:28 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

44.57%chance

4182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1115

897

Will the US fertility rate surpass 2.1 for any year in the next decade?

May 20, 6:21 PMMay 22, 3:59 AM

22.08%chance

3900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1879

532

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

45.47%chance

15426

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

975

Will in vitro fertilization become illegal or totally inaccessible in any state before 2030?

Feb 27, 5:47 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.11%chance

451447

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1165

869

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2028?

Jul 14, 1:28 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

44.21%chance

12473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

909

Will Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?

Oct 19, 6:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.11%chance

10177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

980

Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?

Dec 2, 2:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.58%chance

14719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

971

[Metaculus] Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?

Mar 29, 2:56 PMJan 3, 6:00 PM

92.96%chance

10738

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1548

887

Elon releases a version of Twitter which filters by achieved fertility somehow

Jan 2, 9:15 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

5.26%chance

13487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1364

944

Will Israel be the last country in West Asia to fall below replacement fertility rate

Jun 22, 10:10 PMJun 27, 3:59 AM

52.36%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Articles

Latest stories

BJP's J P Nadda Assigned Health, Chemicals, Fertilizers Ministries in Modi's New Cabinet in New Delhi
Authors
10
19 days
India
World

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