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Prediction markets for Federal Health
Prediction markets for Federal Health
Will Karl Lauterbach (german secretary of health) be out of office before the next federal election?
Jan 5, 8:39 PM
Sep 29, 11:59 PM
13.47%
chance
27
8403
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1640
763
Will the US federal government declare a public health emergency regarding the H5N1 avian influenza virus in 2024?
May 4, 9:18 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
56.83%
chance
3
44
Option
Votes
NO
YES
115
87
Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?
May 3, 5:03 PM
Jan 3, 10:59 PM
50.54%
chance
34
1600
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1067
867
Will there be a federal law legalizing abortion nationally in the next five years?
May 9, 11:28 PM
May 10, 6:59 AM
12.17%
chance
74
2310
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1258
951
Will Anthony Fauci or Francis Collins be criminally charged in relation to COVID by 2025?
Jul 22, 9:08 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
9.73%
chance
27
1366
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1246
939
Will there be a federal law banning abortion nationally within the next five years?
May 9, 11:30 PM
May 10, 6:59 AM
11.94%
chance
71
2310
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1007
874
Which countries will legalize psychedelics by the end of 2029? [ADD ANSWERS]
Mar 27, 7:24 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
16
714
Will any US jurisdiction enact legislation that limits ownership of assault rifles by any group of US citizens by 2025?
Oct 31, 1:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
81.01%
chance
4
61
Option
Votes
NO
YES
191
102
FDA Oversight of laboratory tests will be substantially approved by mid 2026
Dec 4, 10:56 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
56.66%
chance
2
13
Option
Votes
NO
YES
77
64
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Measles Resurgence: A No-Joke Disease Fueled by Anti-Vax Movement, Montreal Canada's Epicenter
Authors
11
4 months
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Authors
5
5 months
Australia
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