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Top stories
Trump Endorses Stefanik in New York and Staggs in Utah Ahead of Key Primaries
Authors
15
9 days
Politics
Prediction markets for Fascists
Prediction markets for Fascists
Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
Feb 8, 10:43 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
27.08%
chance
16
309
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1044
975
Trump quotes a WW2 fascist leader before the general election
Dec 23, 2:48 AM
Nov 6, 6:59 AM
31.17%
chance
39
2787
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1013
939
Will Canada become a fascist dictatorship by 2050?
Apr 29, 5:03 PM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
14.74%
chance
16
587
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1105
963
Will the USA become a fascist dictatorship by 2050?
Apr 28, 1:14 PM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
12.76%
chance
11
273
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1205
942
At least 1 G7 Country will have been under a fascist authoritarian regime for at least 6 months by 2035
Jun 11, 10:01 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.19%
chance
7
214
Option
Votes
YES
NO
398
210
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
332
289820
What will Liz Cheney's 2024 campaign slogan be??
Nov 1, 7:18 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
10
35
What will Hasan call Destiny in 2024? (Add Answers)
Jan 24, 8:48 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
22
3528
The 10 worst things about the 'Right Wing' such as Ben Shapiro/Nick Fuentes?
Apr 7, 12:52 AM
Feb 1, 5:59 AM
21
2577
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AM
Mar 1, 12:59 PM
6.85%
chance
84
6140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1823
1536
Will jstlk become an antifan in 2024? (detailed resolution criteria)
Mar 12, 3:10 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
22.02%
chance
31
5725
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1293
863
Will Trump ever give a more aggressive speech than this?
Sep 2, 7:35 AM
Jan 10, 5:59 AM
37.76%
chance
12
207
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1026
979
Articles
Latest stories
Trump Endorses Stefanik in New York and Staggs in Utah Ahead of Key Primaries
Authors
15
9 days
Politics
Trump Accuses Biden, NY AG, Judge, and Prosecutor of Political Bias in Thanksgiving Message
Authors
5
7 months
Politics
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