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Prediction markets for Fars News

Will any country admit to sending troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?

Apr 7, 9:55 AMJan 3, 5:59 AM

77.7%chance

403495

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1883

320

If Trump defeats Biden in the 2024 election, will the media consensus be that Biden wasn't right-wing enough?

Nov 20, 6:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.16%chance

13356

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1140

915

Will the jelly fish UFO video authenticity be confirmed by the pentagon or DoD by December 31, 2025

Jan 18, 3:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.22%chance

13720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1539

803

On election day 2024, will George Santos be more relevant than Kevin McCarthy?

Dec 6, 5:32 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM

22.21%chance

18694

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1303

823

Will a dirty bomb be used by 2030?

Sep 7, 11:31 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

16.05%chance

16697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

962

Will Taylor Swift's Eras Tour gross $500 million worldwide in cinemas by the end of 2024?

Sep 4, 10:04 AMDec 10, 11:59 PM

6.25%chance

323659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2523

604

Will Threads have "culturally dethroned" Twitter as the de facto online public square at end of 2024?

Jul 15, 12:12 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

2.31%chance

262901

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3303

807

How many minutes of Harry Potter 2026 series will be streamed in the US in the first year?

Feb 24, 9:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

171082

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe in 2024

Sep 11, 4:23 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

34.38%chance

425

OptionVotes

YES

NO

135

93

What will be true of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Dec 30, 2:51 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

606524

Will the Supreme Commander of the Swedish Armed Forces resign before his appointment expires in September 2024?

Jan 20, 11:36 AMOct 1, 9:59 PM

5.2%chance

9725

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634

70

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

81.61%chance

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NO

YES

189

74

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