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Former KKK Grand Wizard David Duke Aligns with Anti-Israel Activists Jake Shields, Suleiman Ahmed, Lucas Gage, and White Supremacist Nick Fuentes in Condemning Gaza 'Genocide'
Authors
7
14 days
China
Israel
Britain
Prediction markets for far Right
Prediction markets for far Right
If a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
Mar 27, 1:43 PM
Jul 1, 2:59 AM
69.9%
chance
20
2201
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1097
918
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Far-right Freedom Party will be largest in Austrian Parliament
Jan 3, 5:30 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
79.59%
chance
14
324
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1071
963
Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
Sep 3, 8:09 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
4.03%
chance
17
1415
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1734
918
Will the far-right political group hold 94 or more seats in the tenth European Parliament?
Feb 14, 6:35 AM
Sep 1, 8:59 PM
17.06%
chance
10
381
Option
Votes
YES
NO
415
83
How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?
Jan 2, 8:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7
725
Which parties will gain in vote share in the 2027 Swiss Federal Election?
Jul 1, 3:41 PM
Oct 30, 9:59 PM
1
10
Which European parties will support the next president of the European Commission? (in the EP vote)
Mar 8, 5:06 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
10
355
Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?
Jun 9, 10:27 AM
Oct 31, 10:59 PM
45.95%
chance
67
21834
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1081
743
What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant N?
Sep 8, 6:59 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
48.59%
chance
8
568
Option
Votes
NO
YES
377
362
Will Manifold implement robust and successful incentives for publicizing information?
Nov 14, 11:09 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
14.5%
chance
22
803
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1305
907
A year from now, will Manifold think this prediction about the future of LLM's has held up?
Jun 26, 5:23 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
59.33%
chance
9
778
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1208
828
Will a supernova be clearly visible from Earth before 2100 by a conscious, self-aware entity?
May 17, 3:43 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
62.81%
chance
4
211
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1300
769
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