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Former KKK Grand Wizard David Duke Aligns with Anti-Israel Activists Jake Shields, Suleiman Ahmed, Lucas Gage, and White Supremacist Nick Fuentes in Condemning Gaza 'Genocide'
Authors
7
12 days
China
Israel
Britain
Prediction markets for far Left
Prediction markets for far Left
duck_master's prop bets / AMA / recommendations [add answers!]
Apr 12, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5
102
Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030?
Jan 10, 3:45 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
31.1%
chance
15
220
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1005
968
Will we get Rouge AI before 2032?
Mar 12, 11:13 AM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
32.74%
chance
19
1203
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1007
915
Will a "Sharp Left Turn" occur (as described by the Alignment Forum, Nate Soares, and Victoria Krakovna et. al.)?
Apr 12, 8:49 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
34.04%
chance
19
700
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1003
994
If Trump defeats Biden in the 2024 election, will the media consensus be that Biden wasn't right-wing enough?
Nov 20, 6:06 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24.16%
chance
13
356
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1140
915
Will Substack cave to censorship demands before 2030?
Dec 22, 9:49 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
61.13%
chance
10
118
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1001
996
Will we get Rouge AI before 2031?
Mar 10, 2:41 PM
Mar 1, 10:59 PM
19.21%
chance
19
885
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1030
949
What's the probability of death in Snake Eyes Variant Y?
Sep 8, 6:58 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
2.73%
chance
8
680
Option
Votes
YES
NO
732
111
Will Nate Silver appear on the 538 Politics Podcast in 2024?
Dec 23, 2:01 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
16.64%
chance
6
130
Option
Votes
YES
NO
218
96
In which state will Germany decide to build a radioactive waste repository before 2069?
May 17, 6:18 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6
206
Help my startup stay alive! (please)
Jan 11, 8:16 PM
0
0
Articles
Latest stories
Former KKK Grand Wizard David Duke Aligns with Anti-Israel Activists Jake Shields, Suleiman Ahmed, Lucas Gage, and White Supremacist Nick Fuentes in Condemning Gaza 'Genocide'
Authors
7
12 days
China
Israel
Britain
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