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Top stories

EU Leaders Nominate Kaja Kallas as New Foreign Policy Chief on June 26
Authors
15
1 day
Ukraine
Europe
Crime
Far-Right Gains Ground in 2024 European Parliament Elections in France and Germany
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Prediction markets for European Parliament

Will transnational lists be implemented for the European Parliament elections in 2029?

May 18, 3:50 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

35.25%chance

101978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1355

738

Will the European Parliament pass a no-confidence vote against the Commission during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 19, 3:12 PMJun 25, 9:59 PM

20.5%chance

31021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1969

508

Teun Janssen, candidate #3 on the Dutch Volt list, will be elected to the European Parliament in 2024.

Apr 3, 8:25 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

6.7%chance

101031

OptionVotes

YES

NO

905

89

Will the far-right political group hold 94 or more seats in the tenth European Parliament?

Feb 14, 6:35 AMSep 1, 8:59 PM

17.06%chance

10381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

415

83

Will right-wing parties take more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 European Parliament elections?

Aug 15, 12:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.78%chance

6239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

87

☀️What will happen in June 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]

Jan 2, 4:07 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

9534827

Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models?

Oct 18, 6:36 PMJan 11, 4:59 AM

97.22%chance

5518083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13872

728

How many seats will Volt Europa hold in the EP after the 2024 elections?

Apr 11, 12:26 AMJul 16, 9:59 PM

1823445

Will the EU parliament strip Hungary of voting rights?

Jan 17, 1:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16.27%chance

14497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1276

912

Will the EU impose punitive tariffs on Chinese electric cars before 2030?

Sep 13, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

90.87%chance

292344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2370

726

Will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by the end of 2024?

Aug 14, 9:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.93%chance

9918244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4739

534

Will MEP Tatjana Ždanoka be arrested in 2024?

Jan 29, 7:14 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

61.69%chance

11765

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

302

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