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Prediction markets for EU Parliament
Prediction markets for EU Parliament
EU Parliament election German FDP vote share?
Jan 11, 2:58 PM
Jun 9, 9:59 PM
18
1144
Will the EU parliament strip Hungary of voting rights?
Jan 17, 1:26 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
17.72%
chance
13
397
Option
Votes
YES
NO
505
260
Will a Ukrainian citizen be elected into the EU parliament?
Feb 5, 5:27 PM
Jun 14, 9:59 PM
30.41%
chance
5
45
Option
Votes
YES
NO
165
108
Will a referendum proposal to rejoin the EU in the UK parliament be voted before 2025?
Dec 23, 9:46 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
36.5%
chance
5
84
Option
Votes
YES
NO
137
121
What will be true about the 2024 EU Parliamentary Elections
Feb 21, 11:35 PM
Jun 6, 6:59 AM
14
421
[Metaculus] Will Norway announce a referendum about EU accession before the next parliamentary election in Sept. 2025?
Oct 5, 4:01 PM
Oct 1, 10:00 AM
24.12%
chance
7
207
Option
Votes
YES
NO
229
140
When will the EU adopt the Cyber Resilience Act?
Jul 13, 5:41 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
4
1160
How many EU countries will have far-right governments in 2027?
Jan 2, 8:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
225
Which party will have the most seats in the European Parliament after the 2024 European Parliament election?
Aug 3, 9:35 PM
Jun 30, 9:59 PM
9
531
Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models?
Oct 18, 6:36 PM
Jan 11, 4:59 AM
96.49%
chance
55
16083
Option
Votes
NO
YES
11877
792
[Ṁ500 SUBSIDY] Will more people vote in national elections in 2024 than any previous year in human history?
Dec 20, 9:32 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
86.08%
chance
9
420
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1016
613
More than 50% participation in 2024 European Parliament election?
Apr 22, 8:35 PM
Jun 11, 6:59 AM
78.69%
chance
17
910
Option
Votes
NO
YES
605
175
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