ET News News

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.05%chance

179854

OptionVotes

YES

7126

3446

Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.56%chance

103923

OptionVotes

YES

4999

3609

Will GiveWell fund Eyeglasses to improve workers' manual dexterity by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.85%chance

286395

OptionVotes

YES

7403

3293

Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?

Mar 26, 9:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.55%chance

132500

OptionVotes

YES

519

249

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 2030

May 28, 1:35 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

20.07%chance

21719

OptionVotes

YES

1160

942

Will tumblr re-tighten its restrictions on porn in 2024?

Mar 16, 9:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.05%chance

21605

OptionVotes

YES

1482

801

Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2025?

Oct 11, 7:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.62%chance

10268

OptionVotes

YES

1204

934

Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2024?

Oct 11, 7:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92.39%chance

8299

OptionVotes

YES

384

102

Will China escalate it’s claim to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea before the end of 2025?

Apr 11, 10:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

66.94%chance

8143

OptionVotes

YES

296

168

Will Mahmoud Abbas be President of the State of Palestine until the end of July 2025?

Oct 11, 7:26 AMAug 1, 4:59 AM

70.69%chance

4112

OptionVotes

YES

167

Will Netanyahu stay the Prime Minister of Israel until July 15th 2025?

Oct 11, 7:19 AMJul 17, 4:59 AM

27%chance

101008

OptionVotes

YES

253

153

Will the AI compute/training reporting requirements in §4.2 of the 10/30 AI Executive Order be challenged in court?

Nov 6, 9:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47%chance

327

OptionVotes

YES

Latest stories

Apple Plans to Refresh iPad Lineup with OLED Screens, Including Pro Model with M3 Chip and LG Display, Starting February 2024, with Expansion to Nine Devices by 2027, Including 2026 Releases
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ET News News

Prediction markets for ET News

Prediction markets for ET News

Prediction markets for ET News

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Eyeglasses to improve workers' manual dexterity by 1st January 2027?

Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 2030

Will tumblr re-tighten its restrictions on porn in 2024?

Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2025?

Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2024?

Will China escalate it’s claim to the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea before the end of 2025?

Will Mahmoud Abbas be President of the State of Palestine until the end of July 2025?

Will Netanyahu stay the Prime Minister of Israel until July 15th 2025?

Will the AI compute/training reporting requirements in §4.2 of the 10/30 AI Executive Order be challenged in court?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for ET News

Prediction markets for ET News

Prediction markets for ET News

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?

Will GiveWell fund Eyeglasses to improve workers' manual dexterity by 1st January 2027?

Will Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?

Public figure comes out as a living performance art project before 2030

Will tumblr re-tighten its restrictions on porn in 2024?

Will Bashar al-Assad be in power in Syria until the end of 2025?