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Prediction markets for Elections Canada

Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?

Sep 9, 2:55 AMOct 22, 6:59 AM

69.38%chance

201264

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1632

391

Will Justin Trudeau lead the Liberal Party in the next federal election in Canada?

Oct 9, 6:28 AMOct 20, 9:59 PM

59.55%chance

212370

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1183

583

Will Canada call for an early federal election before the 2025 election?

Nov 6, 7:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.49%chance

13715

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

888

Will a federal election be called in Canada before the end of 2024?

Mar 20, 5:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.1%chance

15702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1198

885

Canada Politics: Will an early federal election be called in 2024?

Dec 10, 6:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.05%chance

372406

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1741

766

Will Justin Trudeau win the next Canadian federal election to remain Prime Minister of Canada?

Dec 23, 6:09 AMOct 22, 11:59 PM

13.07%chance

372850

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1934

749

Will the Conservative Party of Canada form a Majority Government after the 45th Canadian Federal Election?

Sep 7, 6:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.62%chance

555416

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2161

677

Will Justin Trudeau stop being Canada's Prime Minister by the conclusion of the next federal election (20 Oct 2025 or earlier)?

Dec 1, 7:14 PMOct 23, 7:00 PM

90.35%chance

7213268

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2965

457

Will there be a federal election in Canada in 2024?

Jul 27, 6:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.07%chance

9253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

328

123

(Canada) Will the Liberals poll within 10 points of the Conservatives before next Federal Election?

Apr 4, 3:09 PMOct 21, 5:59 AM

44.22%chance

6105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

202

Will there be a federal election in Canada in 2025?

Jul 28, 7:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.33%chance

8194

OptionVotes

NO

YES

197

116

Will the NDP lose seats in Canada's next federal election? (Oct 2025 or earlier)

Nov 11, 11:32 PMOct 21, 6:59 AM

75.64%chance

13335

OptionVotes

NO

YES

366

117

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