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Prediction markets for Economist
Prediction markets for Economist
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Feb 20, 10:31 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
27.3%
chance
270
30469
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2740
2379
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
Jun 20, 10:38 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
44.24%
chance
13
1140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1123
891
Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?
Apr 15, 5:50 PM
Oct 21, 10:59 PM
20.56%
chance
11
304
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1090
961
Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?
Oct 29, 5:04 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
20.73%
chance
29
2048
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1755
675
If Vladimir Putin is not in power in Russia, what will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
Nov 27, 7:19 AM
Dec 31, 7:59 PM
33.05%
chance
4
135
Option
Votes
YES
NO
333
327
Which country will be the first to go over 5 on the Economist's Democracy index
Mar 29, 10:59 AM
Dec 6, 4:59 AM
4
52
The Economist’s Country of the Year for 2024:
Jan 3, 2:16 PM
Dec 20, 10:59 PM
11
267
The Economist "Which countries did best in 2024" results megamarket (MC UL, 71 in total)
Dec 18, 7:05 PM
Dec 16, 6:59 AM
6
1278
Will any top economist author or coauthor a paper on the journal Seeds of Science?
Aug 6, 7:16 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25.84%
chance
4
83
Option
Votes
YES
NO
207
86
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2024?
May 8, 2:36 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2
400
What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
Nov 26, 6:26 AM
Dec 31, 7:59 PM
21.9%
chance
4
217
Option
Votes
YES
NO
455
285
Will China meet or exceed its 5% GDP growth target this year? (according to The Economist data)
Mar 5, 11:50 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
41.19%
chance
9
176
Option
Votes
YES
NO
286
229
Articles
Latest stories
Mexico City Jumps to 16th Most Expensive City, Surpassing Milan, Munich, and Washington, D.C.
Authors
7
6 months
Culture
Former NYT Editor James Bennet Criticizes Paper's Liberal Commitment and Editorial Decisions
Authors
8
7 months
Politics
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