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ESCI
EARTH SCIENCES INC
ESCI
EARTH SCIENCES INC
Prediction markets for Earth Sciences
Prediction markets for Earth Sciences
Will ESA’s Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) mission to detect gravitational waves launch in 2035 as planned?
Jan 28, 10:16 PM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
38%
chance
18
447
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1089
935
Will the first sign of extraterrestrial intelligence be identified as an artificial intelligence by 2030?
Dec 28, 9:26 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
13.09%
chance
19
894
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1215
939
Will a spacecraft capable of propulsion above 1% the speed of light be achieved before 2040?
Mar 17, 1:16 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
7.06%
chance
18
1432
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1342
940
Will CNSA's Chang'e-6 discover significant amounts of rare earth elements?
May 7, 4:45 AM
Aug 1, 4:59 AM
52.36%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
NO
YES
105
95
Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?
Sep 23, 12:16 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
37.12%
chance
4
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
131
95
Will the "Destruction of a Nuclear Bomb Using Ultra-High Energy Neutrino Beam" occur before 2034?
Feb 6, 12:45 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
2.82%
chance
19
1006
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1289
956
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15
3 months
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Authors
10
3 months
India
World
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