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Distribution Strategy News
Prediction markets for Distribution Strategy
Prediction markets for Distribution Strategy
Will a plausible proof obfuscator be found by end of 2024?
Oct 21, 6:39 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
76.44%
chance
22
7802
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3845
331
1) Nvidia will dramatically ramp up its efforts to become a cloud provider.
Dec 25, 1:23 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
79.36%
chance
40
1222
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1225
914
Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?
Dec 18, 9:07 AM
Mar 3, 4:59 AM
13.36%
chance
14
938
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1277
916
Will a plausible post-quantum proof obfuscator be found by end of 2024?
Dec 10, 1:49 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
25.71%
chance
2
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
49
[Metaculus] At least two public health agencies claim China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections before 2025
Nov 3, 5:26 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
45.53%
chance
4
53
Option
Votes
YES
NO
115
106
Will GPT-5 be able to come up with a carefully strategic plan for the game of Colonel Blotto?
Dec 7, 11:34 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
48.37%
chance
8
123
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
290
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Amazon Studios Global Formats Chief CJ Yu Exits, Amazon Fires Producer Joel Silver, Thomas Hughes, Dan Berger, Masami Yamamoto
Authors
4
7 months
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