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Digital Future News
Prediction markets for Digital Future
Prediction markets for Digital Future
Will Manifold help me pivot my career by the end of 2024?
Jun 9, 7:00 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
50.55%
chance
14
1360
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10098
9894
Will AI usage in 2030 be split in tiers where the best and most expensive models are used rarely compared to cheaper and lower-quality models?
Dec 23, 9:10 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
83.36%
chance
21
941
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1135
944
Will Amazon begin to accept Bitcoin as payment by the end of 2024?
Jun 3, 1:37 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4.65%
chance
17
4795
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2815
781
Will Drex (Digital Brazilian Real) be available in 2024?
Jan 12, 1:15 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
25.07%
chance
9
242
Option
Votes
YES
NO
230
160
Proof of Personhood SDK stock
Apr 8, 8:05 PM
Apr 9, 6:29 PM
20
281
Option
Votes
NO
YES
428
395
In which years will humanity still exist? (2050 to 1 million AD)
Mar 2, 2:30 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
13
563
Will Amazon begin to accept Bitcoin as payment by the end of 2024?
Jan 2, 5:33 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5.71%
chance
8
528
Option
Votes
YES
NO
535
108
When will chapter 401 of Hunter x Hunter be released?
Jun 18, 5:36 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
3
487
Before 2026, will Manifold innovate its way to a market correctly pricing a 1-in-100,000 random chance of Yes as 0.001%?
Jan 7, 10:21 PM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
1.76%
chance
32
6566
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3416
877
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