Destroyer News

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Dec 15, 6:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.34%chance

19260

OptionVotes

YES

1041

977

Will the Straw Hat of Luffy/Shanks be destroyed by the end of the One Piece manga?

Jun 13, 5:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.23%chance

3200

OptionVotes

YES

1194

838

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Oct 20, 2:50 AMOct 27, 3:59 AM

22%chance

15624

OptionVotes

YES

1141

933

Will the USA have lasers in space capable of destroying enemy satellites by 2027?

Apr 16, 5:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

23%chance

11572

OptionVotes

YES

1132

936

Will Ukraine destroy at least 5 strategic bombers this year, preventing their further use for shelling Ukraine?

Feb 21, 12:16 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

50.06%chance

17457

OptionVotes

YES

1021

961

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

Mar 22, 1:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

36.09%chance

11273

OptionVotes

YES

997

983

AI honesty #4: by 2027, will we have AI that would tell us if it was planning on destroying us (conditional on that being true)?

Oct 13, 4:13 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

22.3%chance

14342

OptionVotes

YES

1201

910

Will Trump testify under oath that he never ordered Mar-a-Lago video destroyed?

Sep 15, 1:42 PMSep 17, 3:59 AM

22.47%chance

121827

OptionVotes

YES

1132

932

Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)

Jun 9, 4:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

58.35%chance

333200

OptionVotes

YES

1061

937

Will the individual who destroyed the picture of Lord Balfor in Trinity College be charged with a criminal offense?

Mar 9, 7:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.5%chance

22821

OptionVotes

YES

1049

953

Will it be possible to live inside a computer where you are still conscious inside even if the computer is destroyed?

Jan 31, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.07%chance

15586

OptionVotes

YES

990

961

Will any additional Waymo vehicles be destroyed by vandalism before the end of 2024?

Feb 12, 11:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.15%chance

351183

OptionVotes

YES

1155

774

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Destroyer News

Prediction markets for Destroyer

Prediction markets for Destroyer

Prediction markets for Destroyer

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Will the Straw Hat of Luffy/Shanks be destroyed by the end of the One Piece manga?

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Will the USA have lasers in space capable of destroying enemy satellites by 2027?

Will Ukraine destroy at least 5 strategic bombers this year, preventing their further use for shelling Ukraine?

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

AI honesty #4: by 2027, will we have AI that would tell us if it was planning on destroying us (conditional on that being true)?

Will Trump testify under oath that he never ordered Mar-a-Lago video destroyed?

Did the Russians intend to destroy the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if they intended a significantly lesser sabotage)

Will the individual who destroyed the picture of Lord Balfor in Trinity College be charged with a criminal offense?

Will it be possible to live inside a computer where you are still conscious inside even if the computer is destroyed?

Will any additional Waymo vehicles be destroyed by vandalism before the end of 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Destroyer

Prediction markets for Destroyer

Prediction markets for Destroyer

Will I think by 2030 that substantial quantities of TSMC chip fabs were destroyed due to China invading Taiwan

Will the Straw Hat of Luffy/Shanks be destroyed by the end of the One Piece manga?

Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?

Will the USA have lasers in space capable of destroying enemy satellites by 2027?

Will Ukraine destroy at least 5 strategic bombers this year, preventing their further use for shelling Ukraine?

Would US Destroy Taiwan’s Semiconductor Industries in the Event of Imminent PRC Control of the Island?

AI honesty #4: by 2027, will we have AI that would tell us if it was planning on destroying us (conditional on that being true)?