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Descendents News
Prediction markets for Descendents
Prediction markets for Descendents
Will one of my descendants win a Nobel in my lifetime?
Nov 18, 7:09 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
4.91%
chance
11
469
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1417
939
In 100 years, will Effective Altruism be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?
Dec 13, 6:40 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
76.65%
chance
29
1271
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1030
832
Will there be a cybertruck or a model descended from the cybertruck on mars before 2100
Mar 24, 1:53 AM
Dec 31, 4:59 AM
13.79%
chance
20
1060
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1564
802
Will a descendant of American slaves be President by 2099?
Apr 18, 6:54 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
84.51%
chance
10
174
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1133
953
In 100 years, will Cancel Culture be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?
Dec 13, 6:42 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
14.7%
chance
11
235
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1125
957
A descendant of Elon Musk reaches Mars by end of 2040
Nov 2, 1:21 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23.58%
chance
2
40
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
48
Will the water level in Lake Mead descend below 895 feet, cutting Las Vegas off from water, by the end of 2030?
Nov 8, 6:05 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
31.52%
chance
6
166
Option
Votes
YES
NO
165
62
When will the next probe successfully descend in the Venusian atmosphere?
Mar 10, 1:21 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
14
509
Kim Jong Un or descendant isn't supreme leader in North Korea anytime through 2028
Sep 7, 8:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
15.41%
chance
8
175
Option
Votes
YES
NO
321
145
Will genetic testing reveal Razib Khan to be descended from Genghis Khan (or Mongolian conquerors) by 2070?
Aug 14, 11:54 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
76%
chance
7
278
Option
Votes
NO
YES
225
110
Is Henry (arithmoquine) descended from Henry the lion?
Jun 14, 1:57 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
What does the D mean in One Piece?
Feb 21, 1:12 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
72
4984
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Authors
5
7 months
Culture
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Authors
4
7 months
Culture
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