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Democracy Now News
Prediction markets for Democracy Now
Prediction markets for Democracy Now
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AM
Mar 1, 12:59 PM
6.85%
chance
84
6140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1823
1536
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
146
35229
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
293198
Why is Donald Trump a threat to Democracy (Top 5 Reasons)
Apr 5, 11:46 PM
Nov 6, 5:59 AM
41
3486
What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]
Jan 12, 12:48 AM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
29
2642
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [UNLINKED]
Oct 10, 10:57 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
46
8703
What 2+ word phrase will Donald Trump use at least once until Jan 21, 2025? [your answers]
Mar 2, 10:21 PM
Jan 22, 9:59 PM
50
7262
Which parties will gain in vote share in the 2027 Swiss Federal Election?
Jul 1, 3:41 PM
Oct 30, 9:59 PM
1
10
Which three cause areas will get the most EA funding before 2030?
Jan 13, 8:26 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
25
2339
What will be the next 'classic' episodes on the 80,000 Hours podcast?
May 1, 8:15 PM
Mar 1, 11:59 PM
2
360
What happens if Biden wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]
Jan 12, 12:50 AM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
17
1325
⌛What will happen in my lifetime?
Feb 28, 10:51 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
57
6292
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9
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