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If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Japan become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:11 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

73.47%chance

12272

OptionVotes

YES

1045

966

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will India become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

31.69%chance

18641

OptionVotes

YES

1047

970

Is there at least 90% chance that there is a Hamas command tunnel under U.N. Gaza headquarters?

Feb 10, 10:40 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

47.92%chance

14374

OptionVotes

YES

1059

914

In December of 2026, will Wikipedia ascribe higher credence to the lab leak theory than it did in December of 2023?

Dec 28, 4:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

35.65%chance

373161

OptionVotes

YES

1279

678

Will CNN's online news abandon its left-leaning bias by 2025 according to AllSides Media Bias ratings?

Nov 15, 5:58 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

22.75%chance

3812561

OptionVotes

YES

1590

742

Will the 2024 US presidential election be stolen from the rightful victor?

Jul 9, 8:01 AMJan 20, 5:00 PM

3.83%chance

263016

OptionVotes

YES

3116

787

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?

Dec 17, 1:09 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

81.8%chance

4160

OptionVotes

YES

208

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Australia become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:15 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

71.73%chance

360

OptionVotes

YES

129

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will South Korea become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:18 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

74.9%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

203

120

Will negotiations between Ukraine and Russia start this year and why? (your answers)

Mar 12, 2:00 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

465

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will the Philippines become militarily involved?

Dec 17, 2:22 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

55.36%chance

6101

OptionVotes

YES

138

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Conduit Secures $37 Million Series A Funding on June 25, 2024 to Scale Onchain Compute
Authors
5
9 days
VC
Startups
Business

Credibly Neutral News

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Prediction markets for Credibly Neutral

Prediction markets for Credibly Neutral

Prediction markets for Credibly Neutral

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Japan become militarily involved?

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will India become militarily involved?

Is there at least 90% chance that there is a Hamas command tunnel under U.N. Gaza headquarters?

In December of 2026, will Wikipedia ascribe higher credence to the lab leak theory than it did in December of 2023?

Will CNN's online news abandon its left-leaning bias by 2025 according to AllSides Media Bias ratings?

Will the 2024 US presidential election be stolen from the rightful victor?

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Australia become militarily involved?

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will South Korea become militarily involved?

Will negotiations between Ukraine and Russia start this year and why? (your answers)

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will the Philippines become militarily involved?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Credibly Neutral

Prediction markets for Credibly Neutral

Prediction markets for Credibly Neutral

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will Japan become militarily involved?

If China tries to invade Taiwan, will India become militarily involved?

Is there at least 90% chance that there is a Hamas command tunnel under U.N. Gaza headquarters?

In December of 2026, will Wikipedia ascribe higher credence to the lab leak theory than it did in December of 2023?

Will CNN's online news abandon its left-leaning bias by 2025 according to AllSides Media Bias ratings?

Will the 2024 US presidential election be stolen from the rightful victor?