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Prediction markets for Covid pandemic

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Jan 11, 6:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

37.51%chance

231046

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1122

682

Did the DEFUSE project cause the COVID-19 pandemic?

Dec 19, 11:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.26%chance

101489

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

977

Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?

Feb 29, 11:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

29.51%chance

21658

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

927

Will there be a pandemic which most people agree is worse than COVID by the year 2050?

Jul 16, 4:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

51.04%chance

14447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1070

913

In what year will the next pandemic occur that is as bad or worse than COVID?

Nov 12, 7:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.46%chance

311266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1147

902

Will the next pandemic be overall worse than covid-19 in absolute, global terms?

Aug 10, 12:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.59%chance

561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

169

128

When will we have another pandemic killing more people than COVID-19?

Nov 24, 4:49 PMJan 2, 2:59 PM

181

Will the next pandemic be worse than COVID?

Sep 10, 11:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8166

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

55.71%chance

12102503365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11632

9641

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Jan 17, 7:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.35%chance

754417

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1639

562

Will there be a global recession declared by the IMF before December 31, 2025?

Jun 10, 4:17 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

24.32%chance

121403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1764

567

Will we wake up in a changed world in 2025?

Jan 1, 4:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

13.5%chance

654203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

1038

Articles

Latest stories

Michael Gove Under Investigation for Undeclared Financial Interests as of 2024-02-29
Authors
13
4 months
Britain
World

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