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Circa News
Prediction markets for Circa
Prediction markets for Circa
Will AI automate GUIs by end of 2024?
Jan 19, 6:07 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
39.48%
chance
54
3358
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2526
1124
Will "EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Rese..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 22, 10:06 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
16.51%
chance
2
90
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1028
846
Will silicon carbide be in widespread use as a structural material before 2100?
Jun 15, 12:18 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32.71%
chance
4
90
Option
Votes
YES
NO
407
292
Underrated or overrated ? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are overrated this week ?
May 2, 9:33 PM
Jan 1, 10:00 PM
24
5133
Articles
Latest stories
New Circa Sportsbook with Seating Capacity of 70 Opens at Silverton Casino for March Madness
Authors
5
4 months
Las Vegas
Politics
Las Vegas Hotels and The Bazaar Unionize, Seven Properties Remain as Strike Postponed to Monday
Authors
5
5 months
Las Vegas
Politics
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