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Prediction markets for Canaries
Prediction markets for Canaries
Will "Non-Disparagement Canaries for OpenAI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 31, 3:38 AM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
18.23%
chance
2
60
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1045
763
Message me my main identity (loss of anonymity canary).
Nov 12, 9:07 PM
0
0
Will AI be able to solve confusing but elementary geometric reasoning problems in 2024?
Apr 16, 6:52 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
36.56%
chance
252
163582
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2308
1375
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
73.68%
chance
13
2914
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1075
955
Brave Browser security/privacy scandal by 2030?
Mar 1, 3:09 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
41.09%
chance
3
150
Option
Votes
YES
NO
161
122
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1 month
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