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Prediction markets for Bookings

Will @firstuserhere author a bestselling book by the end of 2027? (10000 Mana subsidy)

Sep 19, 8:40 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

14.74%chance

82180270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25289

5040

Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?

Jul 24, 10:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

74%chance

441945

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1437

775

In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book

Jun 15, 4:05 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27725

What books will I enjoy reading?

Jun 11, 12:00 AMJun 18, 6:59 AM

54150

Will a movie or TV series based on a book by Brandon Sanderson be released prior to 2027?

Aug 23, 10:55 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

65%chance

442902

OptionVotes

YES

NO

986

934

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

84.89%chance

392017

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1661

1183

Will it be possible to generate a 1h+ movie from a book in 2025?

Apr 21, 11:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.33%chance

16548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

970

Will there be a second edition of the "Deep Learning Book" within 10 years after publication

Jun 1, 2:05 PMNov 18, 10:59 PM

52.36%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

954

Will George Santos publish a book in 2024?

Dec 1, 4:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.15%chance

17484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1170

847

Will a book by Brandon Sanderson win a Goodreads Choice Award in 2024?

Sep 26, 1:43 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

31.72%chance

13371

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

896

Will solutions for "Deep Learning: Foundations and Concepts" be available on the book’s website by September 1, 2024?

May 25, 9:20 PMAug 31, 9:59 PM

47.58%chance

2149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

953

AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)?

May 29, 12:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.81%chance

252055

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1124

890

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