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Prediction markets for Bills

Will California AI regulation bill SB 1047 become law this session?

Feb 12, 4:05 PMSep 2, 3:59 AM

58.92%chance

11534931

OptionVotes

YES

NO

56863

41580

If the TikTok "ban" bill passes, will its enforcement be blocked by courts?

Mar 10, 3:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

14555472

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11808

10428

Will SB 1047 survive this legislative session such that the bill makes it to Governor Newsom’s desk?

Jun 2, 2:18 AMOct 1, 6:59 AM

75.68%chance

127801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

17463

5859

Will US Congress pass a bill in 2024 letting foreign governments tax US firms' digital-services profits?

Dec 1, 10:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.23%chance

3310201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3317

838

Will Roger Goodell be replaced as commissioner of the NFL before the Buffalo Bills make it to the Super Bowl?

Apr 22, 2:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68.68%chance

11240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

963

Will Bill Barr testify against Trump in any of his trials?

Aug 6, 11:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.88%chance

111365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

962

Will California AI bill (SB-1047) be signed into law with the "kill switch" requirement?

Jun 12, 10:46 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

59.74%chance

6225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1218

821

Will Dick Cheney outlive Bill Clinton?

Mar 22, 12:24 PMMar 23, 3:59 AM

29.04%chance

231074

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

969

Will the US Congress pass 2 or more bills in Jul 2024?

Feb 1, 2:48 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM

73.26%chance

13173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

976

Will New York State bill to "regulate social media algorithms for children" be implemented in 2024?

Jun 4, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34%chance

131999

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1393

718

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.14%chance

12122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

963

Will Vermont's Condorcet ranked choice voting bill become law?

Jan 30, 3:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.39%chance

2813973

OptionVotes

YES

NO

955

941

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