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Prediction markets for Big 10
Prediction markets for Big 10
Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027
Feb 2, 3:09 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
71.62%
chance
128
7952
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1879
1457
Will 3 Big AI Companies lose 10% of market cap in a single day (AI Bubble Pop) by 2025?
Jun 18, 8:09 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
23.02%
chance
43
9855
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1829
547
Will a Big Mac cost more than $10 in 2026?
Jan 13, 8:49 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
39.49%
chance
20
664
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1008
972
Will a Big Mac cost more than $10 in 2024?
Jan 13, 4:33 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
11.05%
chance
25
645
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1323
927
Is "Committing a really big financial crime (>$10 billion)" worse than committing a financial crime?
Jun 28, 10:40 PM
Jul 6, 4:59 AM
12
0
Is "Committing a financial crime that's 10 times as big, but donating the..." worse than committing a financial crime?
Jun 22, 12:15 AM
Jul 6, 4:59 AM
8
0
What will be Earth’s GDP in year 3000 in units of Big Macs?
Aug 18, 2:24 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
7
530
In year 2030, what will the general US population think of the effectiveness and necessity of the measures the government took against the COVID-19 in years 2020-2022?
Jun 20, 8:24 PM
Jan 31, 8:59 PM
5
25
What is worse than committing a financial crime?
May 15, 5:46 AM
Jul 5, 6:00 PM
155
37475
If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year?
Apr 22, 2:34 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
22
3088
How big will be the *monthly* prize pool for third quiver.trade tournament? (ending on July 10th)
Jun 19, 2:39 PM
Jul 11, 2:59 AM
1
85
Will India have a big communal violence in 2024? (More than 100 casualties)
Jan 18, 12:43 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
26.39%
chance
4
115
Option
Votes
YES
NO
158
72
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