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Paramount Global in Exclusive Talks to Sell BET Network for Up to $1.7 Billion
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3 days
Economics
TV
Business
BET Apologizes for Audio Malfunction Censoring Usher's Lifetime Achievement Award Speech
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6
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Social
Music
Tech

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Jul 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

83%chance

4253113125

OptionVotes

YES

3285

828

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Dec 11, 5:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

262537890

OptionVotes

YES

3215

1581

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

Jan 2, 3:23 AMDec 2, 5:59 AM

61.2%chance

21512668

OptionVotes

YES

5239

4210

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Nov 29, 7:19 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM

4.23%chance

377373

OptionVotes

YES

1186

653

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

Apr 9, 1:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.64%chance

128122952

OptionVotes

YES

1272

1010

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Jun 17, 4:16 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

79075

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

53.36%chance

588061

OptionVotes

YES

975

958

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Nov 12, 8:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.32%chance

4246455

OptionVotes

YES

2293

433

Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?

Nov 15, 3:55 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

29.98%chance

272016

OptionVotes

YES

2791

2345

Will any Manifold users bet mana gained from a death market, they caused to resolve, on a prize point market?

May 17, 4:48 AMJan 1, 11:41 AM

4.25%chance

2124943

OptionVotes

YES

4748

211

1 year from the end of the "Bet on Love" dating show, will Manifold staff believe that it was a good idea?

Dec 12, 3:52 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

90%chance

10410165

OptionVotes

YES

5240

1525

Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?

Aug 20, 10:09 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

18%chance

267864

OptionVotes

YES

1136

937

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Prediction markets for BET

Prediction markets for BET

Prediction markets for BET

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

Let's all bet on what Slay the Spire 2 will be like! Go to town

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Will betting in or subsidizing specific prediction markets be an EA cause area by 2030?

Will any Manifold users bet mana gained from a death market, they caused to resolve, on a prize point market?

1 year from the end of the "Bet on Love" dating show, will Manifold staff believe that it was a good idea?

Will Matthew Barnett win his bet with Bryan Caplan on whether there will be explosive growth by 2043?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for BET

Prediction markets for BET

Prediction markets for BET

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

This market resolves YES when an artificial agent is appointed to the board of directors of a S&P500 company, meanwhile every day I will bet M25 in NO.

Will there be a Manifold bot that makes profitable bets on random 1-month markets by December 2024? (Ṁ3,000 subsidy!)

Will Bryan Caplan win his climate bet with Yoram Bauman?

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?