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Prediction markets for Backs

Will New York Magazine walk back the $50k in a shoebox article?

Feb 22, 4:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30.45%chance

129189769

OptionVotes

YES

NO

143881

71959

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

64.07%chance

14510865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10119

9758

9) Some of the hype and herd mentality behavior that shifted from crypto to AI in 2023 will shift back to crypto in 2024

Dec 25, 1:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.95%chance

474111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1306

862

Will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?

Nov 30, 4:57 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

35%chance

1551231213

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2330

553

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Nov 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.2%chance

15086287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7353

1128

Will Ron DeSantis revert back to his previous height by EOY 2024?

Jan 22, 10:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

61.34%chance

35699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2326

1552

Will Saudi Arabia abandon (or vastly scale back) the NEOM linear city project by 2028?

Feb 18, 11:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.51%chance

13734424

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3003

1078

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least 18 months?

Mar 29, 6:43 PMJan 15, 7:59 AM

31.98%chance

593432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1926

1123

During which month will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?

Feb 14, 1:38 AMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

53104590

Depending on the POTUS election winner, will @Tumbles be late to pay back a loan (before EOY)?

Feb 13, 10:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52176437

Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?

Oct 30, 12:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.67%chance

715007

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1385

1086

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