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AVGE1
AVIATION GENERAL INC
AVGE1
AVIATION GENERAL INC
Prediction markets for Aviation
Prediction markets for Aviation
Will there be a second civil aviation airport collision with fatalities in 2024?
Jan 4, 12:27 AM
Jan 11, 4:59 AM
20.65%
chance
19
2230
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1268
858
Will aviation fuel with lead be banned in the United States before 2029?
Jun 3, 4:15 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
40.96%
chance
11
705
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1200
833
Will the switch from 100LL (leaded aviation gas) to 100UL (unleaded aviation gas) cause small airports to become a thing of the past due to a lack of sufficient revenue?
Nov 18, 8:32 PM
Jan 31, 11:59 PM
77.35%
chance
11
3705
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1046
973
In what year will leaded aviation fuel be banned across all US states?
Aug 28, 6:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
39%
chance
6
138
Option
Votes
NO
YES
145
130
If sustainable aviation fuels take off, which type of fuel will be most widely used?
Dec 14, 6:58 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
15
652
Will the majority of the global civil aviation industry be hybrid or fully electric by 2035?
Aug 17, 8:25 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
8.73%
chance
8
274
Option
Votes
YES
NO
279
156
Will the two Aviation Boulevard stations on Los Angeles Metro's K Line open before the end of 2024?
Mar 20, 12:29 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
30.37%
chance
3
62
Option
Votes
YES
NO
107
45
On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur?
Oct 26, 1:44 AM
Mar 4, 4:59 AM
17
932
How many aviation accidents and incidents will be added to this Wiki page in 2024?
Dec 28, 4:53 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
4
794
Will there be a major aviation accident this year with greater loss of life than 2023?
Jan 28, 3:01 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
26%
chance
4
144
Option
Votes
NO
YES
181
168
Writers' Room: Which of my comedy video ideas will have above-median performance?
Oct 21, 12:05 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
16
743
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
278
341488
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