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AUTNY
AUTONOMY CORP PLC
AUTNY
AUTONOMY CORP PLC
Prediction markets for Autonomy
Prediction markets for Autonomy
The first Anthropic-trained AI system to qualify as ASL-3 qualifies because of misuse risks rather than autonomy risks
Oct 3, 2:12 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
82.36%
chance
13
396
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1228
917
Will Tesla legally deploy Level 4 autonomy somewhere in the world by the end of 2024?
Aug 16, 2:50 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
17.77%
chance
45
4021
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1553
778
What will be true about Tesla FSD by end 2025?
Apr 1, 7:58 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
30
1511
Which risk categories and concepts will be explicitly tracked by OpenAI's preparedness framework by end of 2024?
Dec 18, 8:09 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
10
541
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
May 30, 8:38 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
19
8882
Will Portland have fully self-driving taxis by the end of 2025?
Dec 16, 12:29 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
19.68%
chance
39
1538
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1490
796
Will people start putting A.I. chips into there bodies?
Jan 15, 3:33 AM
Dec 23, 11:59 PM
34.95%
chance
21
873
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
866
Will a consumer-grade autonomous AI be released by an established tech firm by the end of 2024?
Sep 14, 4:23 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32.11%
chance
10
159
Option
Votes
NO
YES
995
995
Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?
Mar 28, 8:28 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
76.02%
chance
43
6938
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1087
941
Will a machine/ai uprising occur by 2044?
May 11, 11:04 AM
Jun 10, 8:59 PM
20.3%
chance
27
1192
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1074
957
Will the United States of America consist of 50 states by 2030?
Dec 21, 3:48 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
80.8%
chance
32
1097
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1008
832
Will the United States of America consist of 50 states until 2050?
Dec 21, 5:37 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
59.21%
chance
16
342
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1034
963
Articles
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