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AUTHENTIC EQUITY ACQUISITION CORP

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Prediction markets for Authentic

Will California AB 3211 "California Provenance, Authenticity and Watermarking Standards" become law?

Jun 11, 3:14 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.67%chance

265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1034

967

Will the jelly fish UFO video authenticity be confirmed by the pentagon or DoD by December 31, 2025

Jan 18, 3:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.22%chance

13720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1539

803

Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?

Mar 18, 12:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.23%chance

32999

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1060

905

Manifold will adopt OpenID Connect as authentication system before 2025?

Nov 12, 2:45 PMDec 30, 11:00 PM

25.75%chance

9174

OptionVotes

YES

NO

268

146

Will the painting attributed to Tarsila do Amaral and put up for sale during SP-Arte 2024 be considered authentic?

Jun 23, 12:32 PMOct 6, 2:59 AM

46.25%chance

257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

93

iPhones Will Introduce Authenticity Verification for Photos and Videos

Jan 12, 2:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

92%chance

5516

OptionVotes

NO

YES

186

77

When will a bank offering voice authentication remove this option due to deepfake risk?

Apr 24, 12:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3216

GP Bullround tech predictions for 2024

Nov 16, 2:28 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6277

Writers' Room: Which of my comedy video ideas will have above-median performance?

Oct 21, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16743

Effective Altruist organization commits serious human rights abuses "for the greater good" before 2035

Nov 30, 10:02 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

17.41%chance

518584

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3705

3281

Will the Vesuvius Challenge recover at least one known lost work (>= 1k words) by 2030?

Oct 15, 11:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

92.59%chance

4813659

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5343

792

In the winter of 2035-2036, will we get enough snow in Barriere, British Columbia to have a decent snowball fight?

Dec 11, 3:25 AMApr 1, 4:00 AM

74.77%chance

12294

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

941

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