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Prediction markets for Audi

Will the Audi works Formula 1 team win a Grand Prix in 2026, its first season?

Jun 11, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.13%chance

11619

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1598

626

What commercials will CNN air during its Biden-Trump debate?

Jun 1, 8:37 PMSep 9, 6:59 AM

2429079

Will human narration for audiobooks become mostly unnecessary before 2026?

Oct 16, 1:53 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

55%chance

26825828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1470

936

Which car manufacturer will be first to create a production car that can achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second

Mar 9, 10:02 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

654

OpenAI will launch an audio only smart home device in the next twelve months

May 14, 3:59 AMMay 15, 6:59 AM

28.34%chance

804003

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3720

3379

Will OpenAI allow near full access to the weights of their best-trained model to an external auditor by the end of 2030?

Jul 4, 10:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.35%chance

592616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

889

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 20M views before 2025? (no audio requirement, slide show okay)

May 13, 9:09 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

64.3%chance

22430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

931

Will AI-generated audio misinformation play a role in the 2024 US election?

Jan 2, 12:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.83%chance

241293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

868

Will there be a popular consumer "live audio translator" device (like a "babel fish") by the end of 2024?

Oct 6, 1:34 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26%chance

12368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1023

980

If SB 1047 passes with the third party auditing requirement, will there be a third party audit available under $500k?

Jun 18, 7:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

68.14%chance

9540

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1462

684

I will read a book (non-audiobook) for every week of 2024

Dec 17, 7:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.87%chance

12411

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

940

Will the Biden interview audio be released publicly before the 2024 election?

Jun 14, 11:46 PMNov 13, 6:59 AM

19.65%chance

131300

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2022

495

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