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Prediction markets for Attack

Will Hezbollah attack Cyprus before EOY 2025?

Jun 20, 12:49 AMDec 31, 4:59 PM

26.99%chance

147254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13592

8083

Is a NATO-aligned or anti-Russian entity responsible for the Nord Stream attack?

Oct 1, 6:02 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

88.72%chance

14839628

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5937

1301

Will there be a terrorist attack against OpenAI before 2027?

Jun 1, 2:14 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

14.33%chance

445505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5319

1305

Will OpenAI be the target and victim of a major cyber attack in 2024?

Dec 31, 7:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

16.01%chance

11820526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3365

1893

Will China launch an attack on Taiwan in 2024?

May 24, 11:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.37%chance

9123846

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7479

2606

Will Iran attack Israel with another drone, missile or airstrike before the end of 2024?

Apr 14, 9:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

26.23%chance

906312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1882

621

Is Havana Syndrome real? (attack from foreign adversary) 🔫⚡️🤯🇨🇺🇺🇸

Mar 29, 12:19 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

20.97%chance

635257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

1035

If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?

Oct 24, 8:42 AMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

65%chance

403926

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

958

Will Joe Biden suffer a stroke or heart attack before January 20, 2025?

May 27, 7:32 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

17.37%chance

242459

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2262

495

Will the Houthis stop attacking ships in 2024?

Jan 16, 11:32 PMMar 1, 4:59 AM

46.02%chance

321138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1306

576

If Israel invades Lebanon, will Iran get involved with an aerial attack?

Jul 4, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will any data center be attacked to oppose AI development by 2030?

Jun 26, 6:46 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

47.31%chance

4165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1055

948

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