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Astral News
Prediction markets for Astral
Prediction markets for Astral
Scott Alexander/ Astral Codex Ten Stock (permanent)
Jan 24, 10:02 AM
Aug 11, 9:43 PM
13
2816
Option
Votes
NO
YES
344
196
Will browsing Astral Codex Ten be less annoying before the end of 2024?
Mar 12, 8:04 AM
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
86.54%
chance
13
888
Option
Votes
NO
YES
593
114
Will there be a new narrator on the Astral Codex Ten podcast in 2024?
Jan 14, 9:55 PM
Dec 31, 1:29 PM
29.84%
chance
4
52
Option
Votes
YES
NO
137
93
What will Astral Codex Ten post about in 2024?
Mar 3, 1:54 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
17
1892
Will Ruff (astral) publish a mypy ~compatible type-checker beta by January 2025?
Jan 14, 7:10 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
74.12%
chance
5
163
Option
Votes
NO
YES
412
347
Nintendo Switch 2 launch titles?
Jan 9, 2:50 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
53
4420
[Order of the Stick] What is the "Monster in the Darkness"?
May 9, 2:04 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7
91
Astralis [LOL stock]
Mar 17, 3:40 PM
Dec 16, 11:59 PM
71.07%
chance
5
79
Option
Votes
NO
YES
145
89
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
Mar 18, 6:08 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
16%
chance
276
100976
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5200
783
📖Will @ScottAlexander write an all-time post (see description) by 2035?
Sep 11, 6:06 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
78.38%
chance
12
214
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1139
937
Will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment at the end of 2024?
May 2, 5:11 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.52%
chance
57
13023
Option
Votes
YES
NO
997
953
Will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war in 2024?
Dec 24, 3:46 AM
Jan 31, 11:59 PM
11.89%
chance
23
1409
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1385
901
Articles
Latest stories
Rust Gaining Popularity as Better Backend for Python, New Pure-Rust X.509 Validator by Trail of Bits Announced
Authors
5
5 months
AI
Tech
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