Association News

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

YES

2141

900

Will anyone associated with Helion be convicted of defrauding Helion investors by 2043?

May 16, 11:19 PMMay 18, 6:59 AM

15.14%chance

11234

OptionVotes

YES

1139

954

Will Flannery Associates' proposed city in Solano County be established and inhabited before 2030?

Aug 26, 10:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

68.77%chance

14820

OptionVotes

YES

1139

862

Will there be a crime associated with the One Ring within 5 years of it being opened?

Jun 20, 3:42 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

15%chance

14625

OptionVotes

YES

1165

943

Will the meaning of the phrase "among us" associated with the meme be largely forgotten by the end of 2024?

Apr 9, 6:45 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

12.53%chance

301731

OptionVotes

YES

1367

916

Will there be a well-reported death/hospitalization associated with Puracy's pop-top aluminum cans in 2023/2024

Oct 9, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

9.98%chance

23865

OptionVotes

YES

1594

874

Will I get an offer from Bridgewater Associates from the Metaculus contest?

May 24, 3:10 AMJul 31, 3:59 AM

6%chance

1511024

OptionVotes

YES

3958

253

Will Destiny lead or be associated with leading an official cult by 2025?

Nov 28, 12:00 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

9.69%chance

10567

OptionVotes

YES

1382

918

Will the Flannery Associates Solano county land be zoned other than agricultural by 2030?

Aug 27, 8:51 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

65.35%chance

771

OptionVotes

YES

190

155

Did Gary Howe from Bank of America kill an IBD Associate by making him overwork?

May 5, 4:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.78%chance

7168

OptionVotes

YES

159

Will MS Dhoni remain actively associated with CSK even after retiring?

Apr 28, 7:45 PMMar 31, 6:29 PM

72.51%chance

487

OptionVotes

YES

265

131

Will Nate Silver join or found an organization associated with EA, rationalists, or prediction markets?

May 2, 3:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.01%chance

10243

OptionVotes

YES

169

112

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Association News

Prediction markets for Association

Prediction markets for Association

Prediction markets for Association

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Will anyone associated with Helion be convicted of defrauding Helion investors by 2043?

Will Flannery Associates' proposed city in Solano County be established and inhabited before 2030?

Will there be a crime associated with the One Ring within 5 years of it being opened?

Will the meaning of the phrase "among us" associated with the meme be largely forgotten by the end of 2024?

Will there be a well-reported death/hospitalization associated with Puracy's pop-top aluminum cans in 2023/2024

Will I get an offer from Bridgewater Associates from the Metaculus contest?

Will Destiny lead or be associated with leading an official cult by 2025?

Will the Flannery Associates Solano county land be zoned other than agricultural by 2030?

Did Gary Howe from Bank of America kill an IBD Associate by making him overwork?

Will MS Dhoni remain actively associated with CSK even after retiring?

Will Nate Silver join or found an organization associated with EA, rationalists, or prediction markets?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Association

Prediction markets for Association

Prediction markets for Association

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Will anyone associated with Helion be convicted of defrauding Helion investors by 2043?

Will Flannery Associates' proposed city in Solano County be established and inhabited before 2030?

Will there be a crime associated with the One Ring within 5 years of it being opened?

Will the meaning of the phrase "among us" associated with the meme be largely forgotten by the end of 2024?

Will there be a well-reported death/hospitalization associated with Puracy's pop-top aluminum cans in 2023/2024

Will I get an offer from Bridgewater Associates from the Metaculus contest?