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Prediction markets for Anon
Prediction markets for Anon
Is the "anon-leopard" model on the Chatbot Arena the ~400B parameter Llama-3?
Jun 7, 10:56 AM
Jul 8, 6:59 AM
6.28%
chance
3
290
Option
Votes
YES
NO
386
26
Is the "anon-leopard" model on the Chatbot Arena Grok 2?
Jun 7, 10:54 AM
Jul 8, 6:59 AM
18.44%
chance
5
149
Option
Votes
YES
NO
210
48
AI Anon Twitter Account Stonks
Dec 18, 7:48 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
30
976
Will any low probability Q-Anon prediction come true before 2026?
Aug 29, 7:13 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
11.93%
chance
8
121
Option
Votes
YES
NO
307
153
Which of these exact words or phrases will appear in "The Winds of Winter"? [your answers]
May 7, 6:07 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
11
321
Will I regret not using an anonymous account on Manifold by end of 2030?
Jan 10, 3:45 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
31.1%
chance
15
220
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1005
968
Will anyone with at least 50,000 fans be discovered to have been using an anonymous Manifold account by the end of 2024?
Feb 4, 12:52 PM
Jan 1, 6:00 AM
63%
chance
20
1445
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1029
974
Will Elon be revealed to be funding some of the larger anon/troll accounts on X during election season?
Jan 28, 7:18 AM
Nov 5, 4:59 AM
7.9%
chance
11
468
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1405
921
Which Political Nates are using Manifold anonymously? [Unlinked Multiple Choice - Expires 2025]
Oct 11, 7:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
25
1090
Will a Presidential Candidate Call for an End to Anonymous Online Posting by November 5th, 2024? [Resolves based on LLM]
Mar 14, 8:04 PM
Nov 7, 7:59 AM
18.23%
chance
6
224
Option
Votes
YES
NO
411
213
Will Telegram anonymous numbers be supported by any other project at end of 2024?
Jul 12, 7:58 PM
Dec 31, 6:59 PM
38.56%
chance
5
64
Option
Votes
YES
NO
162
118
Will you still be able to buy crypto anonymously via cash in the mail on LocalCoinSwap at the start of 2030?
May 11, 7:02 AM
Jan 3, 4:59 AM
43.58%
chance
4
26
Option
Votes
YES
NO
114
88
Articles
Latest stories
AnonPlatform Secures $6.5M Seed Funding Led by USV for AI Internet Identity Tech
Authors
5
2 months
VC
Business
NFT Artists Announce Sales of Digital Artworks to Collectors Including 'BLANCO 911' and 'Pont Alexandre III' with Anonymity
Authors
30
3 months
NFT
Crypto
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