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Prediction markets for Ample
Prediction markets for Ample
World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
May 22, 2:13 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
60.33%
chance
29
13529
Option
Votes
NO
YES
12221
9025
What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)
May 9, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
34.45%
chance
22
17148
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1016
956
Will amplitudes (QFT) be found to be composed of smaller parts?
May 26, 6:23 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
49.96%
chance
4
31
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1001
999
Universal free fall violation (amplified 100x)
Jan 5, 4:47 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
57.21%
chance
24
1409
Option
Votes
YES
NO
896
832
Non-celebrity Vintage Boss Katana amplifier sells for more than price of 20 metric tons of iron ore or scrap by 2050
Dec 21, 12:12 AM
Dec 28, 2:59 PM
51.5%
chance
4
40
Option
Votes
YES
NO
116
102
Will Jeffrey Wang of metaphor.systems ever meet Jeffrey Wang of Amplitude by EOY 2027? (both went to Harvard)
Dec 23, 12:55 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
Iterated Amplification Stock (Permanent)
Feb 9, 8:36 AM
Aug 11, 9:43 PM
2
12
Option
Votes
NO
YES
70
70
Before 2026, a publicly available AI system highly reliably screens videos of chess games for touch move violations?
Jun 27, 9:15 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
51.77%
chance
9
617
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1036
965
Will Shein IPO in 2024?
Aug 9, 8:36 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
88.26%
chance
50
8926
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2457
418
When will I get a cat? (Within the next 3 calendar years)
Oct 27, 4:25 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2
20
Will Superalignment succeed, according to a majority of Eliezer, Nate, Paul, John, David.
Oct 28, 5:50 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3.57%
chance
7
1249
Option
Votes
YES
NO
399
44
Articles
Latest stories
Stellantis CEO: Profitable on EVs in U.S. and Europe, Partners with Ample for Battery Swap Testing in Spain in 2024
Authors
13
7 months
Tech
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