Americans News

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

Feb 20, 10:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

72.8%chance

423135059

OptionVotes

YES

3277

1565

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Feb 20, 10:55 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70%chance

41374347

OptionVotes

YES

3175

1920

Will Leonarda Jonie be banned from X OR Instagram OR YouTube before the 2024 American Election?

Jun 19, 8:35 AMNov 5, 4:59 PM

49.68%chance

3115

OptionVotes

YES

2013

1987

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Apr 29, 12:24 AMDec 31, 4:05 PM

26.48%chance

8353

OptionVotes

YES

142

138

Will Americans' confidence in newspapers decline in 2024, according to Gallup?

Nov 1, 5:50 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

68.48%chance

18690

OptionVotes

YES

1001

983

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

May 3, 5:03 PMJan 3, 10:59 PM

50.54%chance

341600

OptionVotes

YES

1067

867

In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 6:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.54%chance

17424

OptionVotes

YES

1036

969

By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?

Dec 21, 4:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.02%chance

715312

OptionVotes

YES

2408

1150

Will the Harvard class of 2028 have <15% African American students?

Jun 29, 11:13 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

69.86%chance

785608

OptionVotes

YES

1257

1104

In 2028, will at least 100m Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Mar 17, 7:03 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

15361

OptionVotes

YES

1129

947

Will the winner of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination contest in American Samoa win any other contest?

Mar 7, 5:55 AMApr 1, 4:59 AM

53.55%chance

8278

OptionVotes

YES

1273

953

Will Scott Alexander write a blog post by end of July about threats to American democracy?

Jun 9, 9:53 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM

40.04%chance

243290

OptionVotes

YES

1224

817

Latest stories

US Home Prices Up 47.1% Since Biden Took Office; 27% of Americans Skipping Meals Due to Food Costs: KUTV CBS2
Authors
11
22 days
Culture
80% Americans Impacted by High Prices as Support for Biden's Economic Policies Declines, FT Poll Shows
Authors
9
2 months
Economics
Business
Syracuse Crunch Leads Rochester Americans 1-0 in Calder Cup Decisive Game 5
Authors
8
2 months
Hockey
Sports
Biden's FERC Nominations Aim for Energy Regulatory Shift, #HotFERCSummer
Authors
4
4 months
Politics
70% Support Zelensky Amid Ukraine Conflict, Polls Reveal Diverse Opinions
Authors
6
4 months
Ukraine
World
Lawmakers and Agencies Reintroduce PFAS Accountability Act, Seek USGAO Examination of 'Forever Chemicals' Risks
Authors
5
5 months
Politics
U.S. Drug Prices Soar 31.6%, Nearly Double Those in Other Countries
Authors
6
5 months
Bio
Science

Americans News

Prediction markets for Americans

Prediction markets for Americans

Prediction markets for Americans

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Will Leonarda Jonie be banned from X OR Instagram OR YouTube before the 2024 American Election?

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Will Americans' confidence in newspapers decline in 2024, according to Gallup?

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?

Will the Harvard class of 2028 have <15% African American students?

In 2028, will at least 100m Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Will the winner of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination contest in American Samoa win any other contest?

Will Scott Alexander write a blog post by end of July about threats to American democracy?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Americans

Prediction markets for Americans

Prediction markets for Americans

In 2028, will at least 350,000 Americans (1/1000) be talking at least weekly to an AI they consider a romantic companion?

In 2028, will at least 350,000 (1/1000) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?

Will Leonarda Jonie be banned from X OR Instagram OR YouTube before the 2024 American Election?

Will an American Astronaut and a Chinese Taikonaut shake hands on the surface of the moon before 2035?

Will Americans' confidence in newspapers decline in 2024, according to Gallup?

Will any American state start a transgender suppression program by 2033?

In 2028, will at least 35m (1/10) Americans be talking at least monthly to an AI therapist or coach?