Alameda News

Will Manifold be able to repurchase our shares from Alameda?

Nov 18, 6:05 PMDec 18, 6:04 PM

26.72%chance

27998

OptionVotes

YES

1238

888

Will Alameda’s Caroline Ellison get more than 3 years of jail time?

Oct 10, 5:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.9%chance

335949

OptionVotes

YES

2384

576

Will Aldi open a bay area (Santa Clara, San Mateo, San Francisco, Contra Alameda) store before Jan 1 2025?

Nov 20, 9:20 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

Will Alameda District Attorney Pamela Price be recalled?

Jul 28, 6:55 AMJan 28, 7:59 AM

84.52%chance

9232

OptionVotes

YES

391

192

New Alameda county supervisor 5th district

Feb 27, 6:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

2518

Who will win the CA Alameda County District 5 Supervisor election [linked]

Jan 8, 9:11 AMNov 13, 7:59 AM

21114

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Nov 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.2%chance

15086287

OptionVotes

YES

7353

1128

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

YES

2141

900

Will substantial evidence emerge by 2025 that the FTX Future Fund team had strong suspicions of fraudulent activities at FTX before November 2022?

Nov 12, 10:28 AMDec 31, 9:00 PM

2.49%chance

99153285

OptionVotes

YES

13253

1856

Will "FTX Foundation, Inc." (i.e., the non-profit Future Fund entity) be added to the debtor group as part of the FTX bankruptcy proceedings?

Nov 28, 4:34 AMJun 27, 10:59 PM

17.71%chance

19651

OptionVotes

YES

1423

857

Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of 2024? [description]

Nov 6, 5:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

69.08%chance

332595

OptionVotes

YES

1098

899

Will former FTX exec Sam Trabucco be charged with a crime by 2025?

Sep 2, 9:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.4%chance

151307

OptionVotes

YES

1213

815

Latest stories

FTX Bankruptcy Fees Exceed $700M, $450M Anthropic AI Sale, Creditors to Recover 118%
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FTX and Alameda Move $23.59M in 19 Assets to Binance, Coinbase, OKX and Other Exchanges, Involving Whales and VCs
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FTX Approved to Sell $873M Assets, Transfers $22M in Cryptocurrency
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FTX Approved by New York Bankruptcy Court to Sell $873M Grayscale Bitcoin Trust and Bitwise Crypto Index Fund Shares
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FTX and Binance Transfer 750K SOL ($31M) and 250K SOL ($110.4M), SOL Price Remains Strong
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FTX's Bankman-Fried Unfazed by Alameda's $13B Borrowing, After $1.3B in Star Endorsements
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8
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5
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FTX and Alameda Research Transfer $8.6M in Crypto Assets, Millions Across Tokens and Networks, to Binance According to Nansen
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6
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FTX Trial Reveals Bankman-Fried's Scheduled Meeting with Bill Clinton Prior to Crash
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4
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SBF Trial Reveals Allegations of Misuse of Customer Funds at FTX
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7
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Former Alameda Research CEO Caroline Ellison's leaked audio reveals admission of FTX's role in customer fund shortfall
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6
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Former Alameda Research CEO reveals FTX loans led to customer fund shortfall
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7
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BlockFi CEO Testifies in Bankman-Fried Trial, Revealing Lending to Alameda Research
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7
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BlockFi CEO Testifies in SBF Trial, Revealing Lending to Alameda Research
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6
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Former Alameda CEO testifies about alleged bribery scheme involving Thai sex workers and frozen funds
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4
9 months
Crypto
Former Alameda CEO Testifies: FTX Founder Directed Her to Commit Crimes
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5
9 months
Economics
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Former Alameda CEO Testifies Sam Bankman-Fried Directed Her to Commit Crimes
Authors
7
9 months
Tech
Alameda Research Allegedly Used Secret Backdoor in FTX to Withdraw Billions, Raises Questions on Financial Transactions
Authors
11
9 months
Tech

Alameda News

Prediction markets for Alameda

Prediction markets for Alameda

Prediction markets for Alameda

Will Manifold be able to repurchase our shares from Alameda?

Will Alameda’s Caroline Ellison get more than 3 years of jail time?

Will Aldi open a bay area (Santa Clara, San Mateo, San Francisco, Contra Alameda) store before Jan 1 2025?

Will Alameda District Attorney Pamela Price be recalled?

New Alameda county supervisor 5th district

Who will win the CA Alameda County District 5 Supervisor election [linked]

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Will substantial evidence emerge by 2025 that the FTX Future Fund team had strong suspicions of fraudulent activities at FTX before November 2022?

Will "FTX Foundation, Inc." (i.e., the non-profit Future Fund entity) be added to the debtor group as part of the FTX bankruptcy proceedings?

Will Waymo give public driverless rides on any SF freeways by the end of 2024? [description]

Will former FTX exec Sam Trabucco be charged with a crime by 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Alameda

Prediction markets for Alameda

Prediction markets for Alameda

Will Manifold be able to repurchase our shares from Alameda?

Will Alameda’s Caroline Ellison get more than 3 years of jail time?

Will Aldi open a bay area (Santa Clara, San Mateo, San Francisco, Contra Alameda) store before Jan 1 2025?

Will Alameda District Attorney Pamela Price be recalled?

New Alameda county supervisor 5th district

Who will win the CA Alameda County District 5 Supervisor election [linked]

Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?