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AI Safety Institute News
Prediction markets for AI Safety Institute
Prediction markets for AI Safety Institute
If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
Jun 30, 7:25 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
45.44%
chance
3
210
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1576
1429
If Biden wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
Jun 30, 7:29 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
56.74%
chance
3
150
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1645
1373
Will Trump shut down the US AI Safety Institute in 2025 if elected?
Apr 22, 1:31 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
28.95%
chance
13
486
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1159
899
Which of the names below will I receive significant evidence are NOT bound by non-disparagement agreements by EOY 2024
May 30, 10:20 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
9
3654
Will the US government commit to legal restrictions on large AI training runs by January 1st, 2025?
Apr 1, 3:16 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
12.66%
chance
77
16955
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1770
1210
Will Paul Christiano remain US Head of AI Safety for a year?
Apr 22, 1:28 AM
Apr 18, 6:59 AM
14
1076
How difficult will Anthropic say the AI alignment problem is?
Aug 8, 7:48 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
7
135
Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?
Jun 30, 9:06 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
3
235
If Trump wins, who will be the White House’s important AI policy officials in 2025?
Jul 2, 11:36 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
2
400
When will there first be an AI system that qualifies as ASL-3?
Oct 3, 2:03 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5
841
Will "Paul Christiano named as US AI Safety Institu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Apr 30, 8:45 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
5.33%
chance
1
150
Option
Votes
YES
NO
249
86
Which eventuality is more dangerous about AI?
Jan 2, 8:17 PM
24
0
Articles
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Anthropic Develops Method to Peer Inside AI Models, Insights Unveiled by UK’s AI Safety Institute
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UK Government Announces £8.5M Fast Grants for Systemic AI Safety Research
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12
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6
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6
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7
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4
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16
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11
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7
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9
7 months
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14
8 months
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18
8 months
China
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White House's Comprehensive AI Executive Order Emphasizes Safety, Ethical Standards, and Privacy, Marks First Major AI Regulatory Effort
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21
8 months
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