AI Safety News

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

May 21, 12:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.58%chance

6211420

OptionVotes

YES

3265

306

Will Open Philanthropy accept individual grant applications for technical AI safety research? (M1500 subsidy)

Oct 4, 5:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.94%chance

16746

OptionVotes

YES

1939

1721

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

45.44%chance

3210

OptionVotes

YES

1576

1429

If Biden wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.74%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

1645

1373

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Dec 21, 8:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.24%chance

696475

OptionVotes

YES

1684

1350

Will SCOTUS overturn Biden’s AI safety executive order by 2025? ($2600 subsidy)

Oct 30, 11:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.8%chance

262244

OptionVotes

YES

3639

2650

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

May 23, 1:22 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

75.03%chance

362074

OptionVotes

YES

1733

577

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

May 23, 1:18 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

73.5%chance

494207

OptionVotes

YES

1666

600

If AI safety is divided by left/right politics in the next 5 years, will the left be more pro-regulation than the right?

Mar 30, 2:17 PMMar 31, 3:59 AM

50.45%chance

859955

OptionVotes

YES

1193

713

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?

Mar 31, 9:48 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

66.99%chance

17630

OptionVotes

YES

1034

892

WhiteBox Research will get at least one fellow accepted into a ≥0.5 FTE AI safety research fellowship by EoY 2024.

Jun 20, 12:06 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.5%chance

153

OptionVotes

YES

1051

951

Will Australia announce the establishment of an AI Safety Insitute in 2024?

May 29, 1:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.05%chance

162035

OptionVotes

YES

1061

943

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AI Safety News

Prediction markets for AI Safety

Prediction markets for AI Safety

Prediction markets for AI Safety

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

Will Open Philanthropy accept individual grant applications for technical AI safety research? (M1500 subsidy)

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

If Biden wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will SCOTUS overturn Biden’s AI safety executive order by 2025? ($2600 subsidy)

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?

Will there be a coherent AI safety movement with leaders and an agenda in May 2029?

If AI safety is divided by left/right politics in the next 5 years, will the left be more pro-regulation than the right?

Will someone be arrested for a felony offense committed in the name of AI safety in the US before 2026?

WhiteBox Research will get at least one fellow accepted into a ≥0.5 FTE AI safety research fellowship by EoY 2024.

Will Australia announce the establishment of an AI Safety Insitute in 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for AI Safety

Prediction markets for AI Safety

Prediction markets for AI Safety

Will May 2024 be remembered as the month 'AI safety movement died' as per Tyler Cowen?

Will Open Philanthropy accept individual grant applications for technical AI safety research? (M1500 subsidy)

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

If Biden wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

I am an AI safety researcher with a background in machine learning engineering and neuroscience. Will I personally be able to program and train an AGI for less than $10k by 2030?

Will SCOTUS overturn Biden’s AI safety executive order by 2025? ($2600 subsidy)

Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?