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NATO Chief Stoltenberg Confident in US Alliance Regardless of Biden-Trump Election Outcome
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Prediction markets for AFP

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.57%chance

18804

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

614

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?

Mar 3, 3:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.74%chance

212144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

174

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Mar 3, 3:57 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17%chance

13511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1191

927

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?

Mar 3, 3:55 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10.97%chance

152735

OptionVotes

NO

YES

959

816

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of November?

Mar 3, 3:55 PMNov 30, 10:59 PM

1.66%chance

102930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

125

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?

Mar 3, 3:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.5%chance

7468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

394

154

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2024?

Mar 3, 3:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.35%chance

91223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

692

134

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of July?

Mar 3, 3:52 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

2.1%chance

81183

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

135

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of October?

Mar 3, 3:54 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

2.93%chance

112398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1105

157

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of August?

Mar 3, 3:53 PMAug 31, 9:59 PM

1.77%chance

132748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2023

895

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of September?

Mar 3, 3:53 PMSep 30, 9:59 PM

2.21%chance

122551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1256

136

Will any country in the world have brain preservation as part of its healthcare system by 2040?

May 13, 6:05 PMDec 30, 10:59 PM

26.28%chance

787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

461

350

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