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Affairs News
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Narendra Modi, Rahul Gandhi, Kiren Rijiju Escort Om Birla to Lok Sabha Speaker's Chair
Authors
10
8 days
India
World
Politics
Israel's Religious Affairs Minister Michael Malchieli Prepares for Mass Burials Amid Potential Conflict with Lebanon
Authors
5
13 days
Israel
Crime
World
Prediction markets for Affairs
Prediction markets for Affairs
Will an autonomous personal AI agent, capable of managing daily affairs, be available by the end of 2024?
Dec 30, 1:21 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
19.62%
chance
38
3398
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1525
806
Will Canada or India downgrade bilateral relations to a charge d'affaires level?
Sep 18, 10:44 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
9.57%
chance
49
3072
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2271
751
Will either Kate Middleton or Prince William acknowledge that he had an affair?
Mar 12, 12:15 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
14.8%
chance
7
509
Option
Votes
YES
NO
451
132
Will Wang Yi be replaced as Minister for Foreign Affairs before 2025?
Feb 22, 8:27 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
64.19%
chance
2
27
Option
Votes
NO
YES
93
53
Who will be the next UN General secretary?
Apr 12, 11:31 PM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
5
55
Who will be the next minister of the Republic of Cyprus to leave their post?
Nov 21, 10:45 AM
Feb 5, 9:59 PM
0
0
Will 2024 prove to be a pivotal year for Cold War 2 as posited by Noah Smith?
Mar 20, 8:28 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
25.21%
chance
19
1082
Option
Votes
YES
NO
13210
12847
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Nov 11, 7:11 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20.4%
chance
15
1070
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5673
4770
How much funding will the UN response plan for Sudan receive by the end of 2024?
Jun 10, 12:45 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
4
500
Will the US Government lose its monopoly on violence within its borders before 2035?
Jun 16, 5:44 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
9.2%
chance
75
19817
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2819
1400
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the Russia-Ukraine war?
Dec 12, 3:27 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
13.69%
chance
60
15280
Option
Votes
NO
YES
979
953
Will US public opinion shift towards Israel during 2024 (according to gallop)?
Mar 28, 5:00 AM
Mar 31, 12:59 PM
31.56%
chance
31
1188
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1214
868
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