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Top stories

Argentine President Milei Honored by Hayek Society Amid Protests in Hamburg, Meets Scholz in Berlin
Authors
32
4 days
Politics
German Historian Wagner, CDU MP Push for AfD Ban Amid Popularity Surge, Green Party Warns of Security Risk
Authors
5
9 days
Politics

Prediction markets for AfD

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?

Jun 9, 10:27 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

50%chance

6621574

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

813

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

33.76%chance

499505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1442

698

Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?

Jun 28, 10:23 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

72.21%chance

16386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1151

928

Will Somebody Try to Ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:57 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.17%chance

12473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1164

915

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.86%chance

11674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

876

Will the AfD still exist by the year 2030?

Jan 15, 7:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

70.95%chance

20508

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1183

900

What share of the vote will the AFD receive in the next German federal election?

Jan 7, 2:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.94%chance

22441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

985

Will OVG Münster declare AfD "suspected right-wing extremist"?

Jan 23, 7:02 PMJul 3, 1:59 PM

88.67%chance

25822

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1432

884

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the Greens in Germany's next federal election?

Jun 9, 10:26 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

89.44%chance

505284

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2556

526

Will there be a coalition between the AfD and the CDU in Germany at least at the municipal level by 2025?

Aug 12, 12:02 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

13.55%chance

424595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1965

598

Will the right-wing party AfD participate in a state-level government in Germany for the first time in 2024?

Jan 30, 4:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

6.89%chance

365500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1762

878

Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?

Jul 14, 9:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.85%chance

294257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3128

816

Articles

Latest stories

Argentine President Milei Honored by Hayek Society Amid Protests in Hamburg, Meets Scholz in Berlin
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