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Action for Children News
Prediction markets for Action for Children
Prediction markets for Action for Children
By the end of 2045, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?
Mar 27, 1:03 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
20.77%
chance
28
2347
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1187
920
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?
Mar 9, 3:26 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6.9%
chance
74
10062
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1632
1394
Will 2 or more Idaho libraries transition to "Adults Only" in 2024?
Jun 9, 10:07 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
57.35%
chance
10
416
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1160
862
Will 3 or more Idaho libraries transition to "Adults Only" in 2024?
Jun 5, 8:37 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40.22%
chance
23
1315
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1219
820
Will there be a death at a Trump Rally in 2024?
Jan 13, 12:52 AM
Jan 23, 7:59 AM
29.9%
chance
20
921
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1050
968
Will someone start a site that is obviously a copy of early OkCupid before end of 2024 [DRAFTING MAY CHANGE]?
Sep 20, 8:07 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
20.22%
chance
1
60
Option
Votes
YES
NO
130
42
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